I mentioned yesterday that I expected Israel to be entangled in more conflicts in the future as the U.S. eventually abandons Israel. However, I did not mention why I feel the U.S. would eventually abandon Israel. I know that it is difficult to see why the U.S. would abandon Israel now when Israel is the only true friend that the U.S. has in the Middle East and the only real democracy in the Middle East. There are a few reasons why I expect the U.S. to eventually abandon Israel following an economic and financial collapse. Here they are…
U.S. leaders may not have the desire to provide aid to a distressed Israel as they face their own problems following an economic and financial collapse. Following an economic and financial collapse U.S. leaders’ primarily concern would most likely be to solidify their power base in a very unstable political environment and to provide support to the American people. Israel would probably be the last thing on U.S. leaders’ minds as they tend to the many major domestic problems that are likely to exist at that time.
The U.S. is unlikely going to have the military to remain the world’s policeman in the future. The U.S. is likely going to have a far less active role in foreign affairs in the future because it is unlikely going to be able to afford to maintain a large military force. The U.S. probably is going to use its military to advance its interests alone. The likelihood that the U.S. would support Israel with its more limited military is slim because the U.S. is going to have much more pressing needs at that time like securing resources like foreign oil and protecting its own territory from a country like China.
Even if the U.S. maintains the military capability to defend Israel and U.S. leaders have time to worry about what is going on outside the country, U.S. leaders may not support Israel because a pro-Israel policy may not be popular in the U.S. following an economic and financial collapse.
- U.S. citizens may be unhappy that the U.S. is spending some of its limited resources on helping another country when the U.S. has so many problems of its own.
- Anti-Semitism is likely going to be a much higher levels than it is today because the Jews have historically been made a scapegoat during times of crisis whether they had anything to do with the crisis or not. If anti-Semitism is as high as I suspect it will be the idea of helping a distressed Jewish state may not be popular with the American public.
The analysis above assumes that the U.S. is still a democracy at that time, which it may not be because economic and financial collapses tend to lead to revolution. If the U.S. is not a democracy the idea of supporting Israel because it is the only democracy in the Middle East is thrown out the window because authoritarian regimes are not interested in creating democracy or maintain democracy outside their own borders. Having them do so would be like asking the Speaker of the House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi (Democrat) fly to Texas to support a Republican in an upcoming election.
I agree with those who argue that the U.S. would protect Israel if it faced a major attack right now, but global conditions are going to change dramatically soon. The U.S. probably is not going to be with Israel in the future following an economic and financial collapse.
